Access Shock Theory

From Industrial Revolution to Access Shock

Four periods of technological change in historical context – and what we can learn

Accelerating Pace

From decades in the Industrial Revolution to months in Access Shock

Same Pattern

Uncertainty → Adaptation → New Opportunities in all periods

Human Skills

What makes us human becomes more important

The history of technological development is a story of completely transformed social structures and new rules in human interaction. When we look back at the major periods that shaped modern society, we see a pattern that repeats: new technology arrives, terrifies old classes, and creates new ones.

The last period, “Access Shock”, is based on my theory that expert knowledge is becoming accessible to everyone in a very short time.

Speed of change

1 of 8

Industrial Era

Took decades to gain foothold

Electric Age

Took decades, but spread faster than Industrial Revolution

Digital Age

Took 2–3 decades to achieve widespread adoption

Access Shock

Months – new releases transform entire industries with sudden access

What can we learn?

Common Patterns

When we examine these four periods together, it becomes clear that each has its own unique characteristics, but they all share the same basic pattern: new technology creates uncertainty, changes the labor market, and requires new thinking.

Access Shock is Different

Access Shock differs from earlier periods in that it concerns knowledge rather than physical labor. This could be an even more radical change as it touches the very foundation of what we consider “expert knowledge.”

Lessons for our time

Adaptation is key:

In all periods, those who adopted new skills thrived best.

Social security matters:

Societies that invested in safety nets and education fared best.

Human skills become more important:

When machines take over, what makes us human becomes more important.

Change takes time:

Although the pace has increased, it still takes time for society to fully adapt.

* Note: The “Access Shock (2022–)” column is based on my theory that expert knowledge suddenly becomes accessible to everyone, creating imbalance that requires new rules of the game. The comparison with industrial revolutions is a theoretical extension; the theory more closely parallels the Gutenberg printing press and the internet. The analysis reflects the situation as it appeared to me in the autumn of 2025.